Kabegamifbdk

Recession Since 1871 in the United States vs The Yield Curve Since 1871, the National Bureau of Economic Research recognizes 29 completed business cycles putting us in the 30th for this selected data For all 29 recessions, we counted the number of months between a yield curve inversion We looked at 10 year Treasuries and the difference with either our 36month borrowing proxy or the 2 Year Treasury An inversion in either was counted as an 'alarm'A recession might be comingSome investors believe it's on the way because there's a chart that has predicted every recession in the past halfcentury — and it's starting to predictNote The inverted yield curve wasn't the cause of the recession but rather a symptom of it Think of the inverted yield curve as a cough or fever in a greater sickness The last seven recessions the country has seen were preceded by an inverted yield curve — and many experts agree that another inversion of the yield curve could be on its way The I